Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.613616 4.310046 5.086170 6.012538 7.085310 8.285618 9.727267
2025-10-05 2.758685 3.693381 4.841554 6.344216 8.246064 10.559008 13.569056
2025-10-12 2.174419 3.206651 4.580751 6.518050 9.148542 12.561215 17.282226
2025-10-19 1.810693 2.901010 4.454717 6.785285 10.137119 14.717960 21.370036
2025-10-26 1.478546 2.557378 4.193468 6.788428 10.715885 16.333600 24.841104
2025-11-02 1.175904 2.189764 3.821449 6.548944 10.877275 17.332618 27.488417
2025-11-09 0.946164 1.890424 3.497763 6.319241 10.996167 18.241730 30.039104
2025-11-16 0.805266 1.715156 3.344187 6.330862 11.475013 19.712623 33.529032
2025-11-23 0.691437 1.565925 3.208593 6.346068 11.946261 21.192371 37.127442
2025-11-30 0.588395 1.416161 3.046220 6.286000 12.270977 22.444941 40.436877
2025-12-07 0.477825 1.226945 2.777396 5.989545 12.137876 22.906624 42.456356
2025-12-14 0.410825 1.118474 2.649866 5.941465 12.441408 24.126463 45.826899
2025-12-21 0.352978 1.020474 2.532012 5.903678 12.772356 25.443406 49.507637
2025-12-28 0.334040 1.013778 2.610072 6.277333 13.933989 28.347506 56.202828
2026-01-04 0.303657 0.971124 2.600854 6.463984 14.741209 30.657075 61.980931
2026-01-11 0.281791 0.946417 2.628918 6.733707 15.739382 33.393060 68.714008
2026-01-18 0.247629 0.879106 2.543934 6.738150 16.184284 35.098475 73.630340
2026-01-25 0.206600 0.780813 2.364992 6.500620 16.087045 35.732392 76.546613
2026-02-01 0.172480 0.694224 2.200275 6.272531 15.982148 36.333890 79.426210
2026-02-08 0.152588 0.648600 2.137104 6.284108 16.410502 38.041869 84.576693
2026-02-15 0.135330 0.607239 2.078590 6.299225 16.846377 39.792044 89.912778
2026-02-22 0.117970 0.560361 1.995771 6.239553 17.099456 41.171051 94.573928
2026-03-01 0.096721 0.491537 1.833997 5.945044 16.758163 41.246329 96.547337